michaelf Posted December 14, 2014 at 01:37 AM Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 01:37 AM Birth rates in 1990 were pretty much at the same levels as the 80s and were most likely above replacement level according to stats, but they very jarringly fell well below that level by 1991 and to this day are sub-replacement. Why the sudden drop-off so quickly? http://www.un.org/esa/population/meetings/EGM-Fertility2009/Gu-Cai.pdf Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Members bjfulyc Posted December 14, 2014 at 06:51 AM New Members Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 06:51 AM We call the policy as 计划生育（birth control）. In the 1990s, the policy reached its peak, and our government took much harder restriction ways on birth control. http://zh.wikipedia.org/zh-tw/%E4%B8%AD%E5%8D%8E%E4%BA%BA%E6%B0%91%E5%85%B1%E5%92%8C%E5%9B%BD%E8%AE%A1%E5%88%92%E7%94%9F%E8%82%B2#1991.E5.B9.B4.E8.87.B32013.E5.B9.B4.EF.BC.9A.E4.B8.80.E7.A5.A8.E5.90.A6.E5.86.B3.E5.88.B6.E5.92.8C.E6.9E.81.E4.BD.8E.E7.94.9F.E8.82.B2.E7.8E.87 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liuzhou Posted December 14, 2014 at 08:04 AM Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 08:04 AM I needed a rest. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gato Posted December 14, 2014 at 08:15 AM Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 08:15 AM Probably because the before and after numbers were based on surveys by different agencies using different methodologies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shelley Posted December 14, 2014 at 12:50 PM Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 12:50 PM I needed a rest. Hehehehe lol thanks for that, brought a smile to my day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
li3wei1 Posted December 14, 2014 at 03:41 PM Report Share Posted December 14, 2014 at 03:41 PM The decision to create a child (if that's how it happens) requires a degree of optimism about the world, and particularly the country, that you'll be bringing it into. Perhaps something happened shortly before the years you're talking about, something that was so catastrophic and frightening, that it dented people's optimism for several years. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelf Posted December 15, 2014 at 12:30 AM Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2014 at 12:30 AM Interesting. So basically family planning became more ardently pursued starting in 1991, combined with stuff that happened a little bit earlier, is the cause? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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